Chuck Jaffe: Did Apple and gold hurt your portfolio?
If your mutual funds have been disappointing this year — at a time when the market is up — there are three likely causes:
3) Something else.
There was a time not that long ago, when the exact same list of factors could have been the reason your mutual funds were killing it, and outperforming the competition.
For most investors, having too much money allocated to Apple (AAPL) or to gold didn’t feel quite as bad when it was working in their favor.
But if you are the kind of investor who feels you can never have enough of a good thing — and never have too little of a bad one — the real problem in the performance could be that it comes by surprise.
It’s not that investors should necessarily want — or even expect — to be out of Apple or to have funds with no exposure to gold.
In fact, nearly one quarter of all equity funds have an investment, according to Lipper; as recently as February, at least 10 percent of the funds owning Apple had made it at least one-tenth of the total portfolio.
If you have held an ordinary S&P 500 index fund over the last year, there were times when you had about 9 percent of that money in Apple; even today, after Apple has fallen from a peak north of $700 to about $460, Apple is still likely to have a major place in any portfolio that benchmarks to the index.
It’s a bit easier to avoid gold — where the recent 9 percent one-day meltdown was the single worst day for gold investors in 30 years, continuing a dramatic sell-off — but plenty of equity funds have an allocation to precious metals.
The problem is when those positions are oversized, but shareholders’ knowledge of them is undersized.
Perhaps someone owning Putnam Global Technology is not taken aback that Apple makes up nearly one-quarter of the portfolio, according to the most recent data available from Lipper. But they’re not loving a year-to-date decline when the average tech fund has gained this year, according to Morningstar.
It is far more surprising to see general-equity funds like Janus Twenty (JAVLX) or Turner Large-Cap Growth (TCGFX) with double-digit stakes in Apple stock.
Those funds — which have no mandate to tilt toward technology — have been in the bottom 5 percent of their peer groups this year, having missed out on much of the S & P 500’s gain.
The issue for investors is that they buy funds based on past performance, without regard for how those numbers were achieved.
One way funds top the performance charts is by taking additional risks, concentrating a portfolio or going hard into the hot asset; investors enter when the fund is on a hot streak, and then are disappointed when the market turns and the strategy falters.
“It’s like playing musical chairs and assuming the music will never stop,” said David Trainer, president of New Construct, a firm that does stock and mutual-fund research.
“If you’re not going to do diligence on what a fund buys and if it focuses a portfolio, you are throwing yourself to the mercy of mutual-fund managers.”
What’s more, fund managers tend to be a me-too group, where pros may not want to mimic the competition, but they don’t want to fall way behind.
That leads to portfolio overlap, where having one fund overexposed to an asset class or category may not be an issue, but having several funds leaves the investor less diversified than they expect.
For example, say an investor with Putnam as a 401(k) provider owns Putnam Voyager (PVOYX) for large-cap exposure, and the aforementioned Putnam Global Tech fund to tilt the portfolio toward technology.
Voyager, according to Lipper, recently had more than 8 percent of its assets in Apple; when coupled with the double-digit stake of the tech fund, that duplicity may create a portfolio performance issue.
That kind of overlap is easily found within fund families — for example, Janus Twenty, Janus Forty (JCAPX) and Janus (JGROX) all have at least 8 percent in Apple, according to Lipper — but investors need to look for heightened exposures and make sure that they aren’t layering one fund on the next that are all fishing for returns in the same pond.
“The point isn’t that it’s bad to own gold or bad to own Apple, it’s that it’s bad when all of your fund managers go out and do the same kind of thing, and you pay the price for them being lazy and loading up on what was hot,” said Trainer.
“If you know what your funds own, then you should not be surprised with the results. You may be disappointed — investors in gold are disappointed now, even if they expect gold to rebound — but you should not be surprised.”
In the end, investors should look at their quarterly statements and see the reasons behind their disappointment.
If the cause can be isolated as too much exposure to any stock or asset class, that’s a sign that it’s time to look for better balance from the funds in a portfolio.
Chuck Jaffe is senior columnist for MarketWatch. He can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org or at P.O. Box 70, Cohasset, MA 02025-0070.
Copyright 2013, MarketWatch